If you look on the District Council website here and look down the page you can find and download the? Environmental Statement ? Appendix G ? Transport Assessment and Travel Plan (updated May 2015) It’s a big document (19Mb) and it’s 253 pages long. The 132nd page is surprising.
The opening summary includes the following:
That certainly sounds encouraging , doesn’t it. There’s an acknowledgment of the existing problems, and an assessment of all the junctions. The trouble is, the mathematical model they use to study our local road network seems to be wildly different to the real life situation. A? good example is on the 132nd page of the document (page 33 of section 6) . This is about the Rawreth Lane / Hullbridge Road junction. It has a table that shows the amount of queuing traffic in their mathematical model compared with what was found on an actual survey :
The? figures marked in green show the average number of vehicles on the Hullbridge side of the mini-roundabout queuing in the morning peak. Their model predicts only 2 vehicles – the survey showed 10!
The? figures marked in red show the maximum? number of vehicles on the Hullbridge side of the mini-roundabout queuing in the morning peak.Their model predicts only 1 vehicle – the survey showed 19! (You may also wonder how the average figure in the model can be higher than the maximum)
The? figures marked in orange show the maximum number of vehicles queuing in Rawreth Lane in the evening peak. Their model predicts 4 , the survey showed 23!
We really don’t understand how Countyside’s consultants can say that “this is a good reflection of the existing operation of the junction , and hence fit for purpose for testing proposed devlopments”